Climate Change .AGW and all points from Activism to Skepticism. @Wiki_Ballot #GrubStreetJournal

I have produced this PDF of notes as preparation for making a children’s book to help my children understand science and the scientific method.

Some of my recent posts here on this blog have been responses to what I sensed as a sort of guilt by association people felt if in the presence of a ´´Denier´, that suspected denier being yours truly.
The Mc Carthyism aspects and the ad hominem discourse on this important question have been troubling me for some time. Scepticism does not change the truth of any proposition, Scepticism is an important ingredient in the scientific method. The 97% consensus regarding ´Climate Science´, the part of the ´Science ´which is purported to be ´Settled´ are really all rather vague and ill-defined terms which I find a little confusing. On Scepticism when asked 10 out of 10 scientists would confirm that they prefer it.

So in the spirit of having nothing to fear but fear itself and hope to give, Activists and Deniers alike a rest from the usual debunking industry fare: here, is my best shot at a balanced collection of what I have found to be informative and thought-provoking material. I quote extensively from the IPCC. The reports are actually rather more measured than the summaries for the policymakers and press. The parts from the scientific community are evidence that scientific scepticism is alive and well. You can take the Scepticism out of the Scientism, But you can not take the Sceptic out of the scientist.

https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/2019/09/02/155-the-art-of-dark-sky-thinking/

November The 5th
.
Bonfires Flames and Embers
Around the bonfires stand communities
Children Burn Sparklers and Adults Candles
Effigies atop the bonfire fear the flames
At the seat of the Fire Embers Accumulate
Dreaming at Home Communities retire
Slumber hangs over the Town
The Bonfire smolders unobserved
Effigies, Sparklers and Candles All Embers Now
Flames lick the skies spectacular
Sparklers delight and perform fleetingly
Candles support but one fragile flame
Embers , wax and Magnesia

Calliopsis or Magnesia fueled from embers
The Health of the embers combustible flames
Who celebrates the embers endeavors
Who sees the symbiosis of the combustion and the fuel

All fate leads into the embers
All Embers fate to blow as dust
All Flames from the embers driven
Do the flames celebrate the embers for their finery?

Roger G lewis 2016.

http://letthemconfectsweeterlies.blogspot.se/2016/11/novemebr-5th-bonfires-
falmes-and-embers.html

An empirical spatiotemporal description of the global surface-atmosphere

carbon fluxes: opportunities and data limitations

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B6ZHfkDjveZzYmtqUVBqMXVKcEk/view

ADOLF HOEL: THE NORWEGIAN

SVALBARD EXPEDITIONS 1906-192

p.53

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B6ZHfkDjveZzXzVnTllQVm91RFk/view

“It will without doubt have come to your Lordship’s knowledge that a
considerable change of climate, inexplicable at present to us, must have
taken place in the Circumpolar Regions, by which the severity of the cold that
has for centuries past enclosed the seas in the high northern latitudes in an
impenetrable barrier of ice has been during the last two years, greatly abated.
(This) affords ample proof that new sources of warmth have been opened
and give us leave to hope that the Arctic Seas may at this time be more
accessible than they have been for centuries past, and that discoveries may
now be made in them not only interesting to the advancement of science but
also to the future intercourse of mankind and the commerce of distant
nations.”
President of the Royal Society, London, to the Admiralty, 20th November,
1817 [13]

11 thoughts on “Climate Change .AGW and all points from Activism to Skepticism. @Wiki_Ballot #GrubStreetJournal

  1. Like

  2. rogerglewis
    on September 29, 2019 at 12:24 pm said:
    Don,
    I do not try to convince anyone of anything.
    I do not say anyone is wrong in the totality of any claims which they make including yourself.
    What I do ask for is the evidence and the reasoned arguments posited with the aid of those arguments and that data.
    These are very complex systems and the binary and proscriptive tone adopted by many who attach themselves to the tribal polarities generates more heat than light.
    The insistence that arguments have been carried by evidence when patently that is not the case are rather tedious. The CO2 arguments detract particularly from the environmental arguments and the arguments related to resource depletion and exhaustion of other organic systems.
    The criticisms I have of the intellectual dishonesty regularly displayed now in these discussions at Tims excellent blog here remain.
    Have a great Sunday.
    https://longhairedmusings.wordpress.com/2019/07/02/journal-of-integral-theory-and-practice/

    Steven B Kurtz
    on September 29, 2019 at 3:29 pm said:
    @Roger

    Wilber, despite being brilliant in some areas, has for decades assumed that non-physical/energetic things exist. He is far from alone, as theologians and some philosophers have done so for millennia. As appealing as those positions are to Homo superstitious (estimated 80+%), there is zero shareable evidence for such stuff. The attempted ‘proofs’ I’ve seen are either circular or tautological. https://www.logicallyfallacious.com/tools/lp/Bo/LogicalFallacies/66/Circular-Reasoning.
    https://www.thefreedictionary.com/tautology

    Similar techniques have been used by those claiming disembodied mind and panpsychism. An Australian author, Reg Morrison, has written about mysticism as an evolved trait which has outgrown its usefulness now that we’ve become too successful. (overshoot) See:
    http://regmorrison.edublogs.org/articles/

    drtimmorgan
    on September 29, 2019 at 4:17 pm said:
    We do know of one non-physical, non-energetic thing that does exist – thought.

    Moreover, the idea that mysticism (or anything beyond the tangible) has been rendered obsolete by advances in our knowledge seems to put a lot of faith in the concept of ‘advance’.

    I’m not a subscriber to any established religion, but I certainly don’t dismiss the concept that there might be ‘something beyond us’. Perhaps the most rigorous philosophical investigation of this topic, carried out many years ago by a retired judge, concluded (a) that there probably is a driving intelligence behind the universe, but (b) that this is likely to bear no resemblance at all to the Deity postulated by religion. For one thing, this intelligence is likely to be subjective (akin to our subconscious minds), not objective (like our conscious minds). It might thus be likened to a “highest law of science”.

    Steven B Kurtz
    on September 29, 2019 at 4:29 pm said:
    Tim,

    Energy is physical. If anyone can evidence non-caloric thought, a Nobel likely awaits!

    Cheers,
    Steve

    rogerglewis
    on September 30, 2019 at 5:06 am said:
    Your comment is awaiting moderation.
    Hello Stephen,
    Ken Wilber is an interesting Philosopher and Psychologist I find his ideas interesting. Rupert Sheldrake’s theory of Morphic Resonance is very interesting as well, and one which I believe has much to recommend it.
    Regarding Philosophy of Mind, it is a huge subject and my own interests tend towards the work of Wittgenstein and Linguistics. Ultimately I am though most persuaded by the Father of American Pragmatism CS Pierce.
    Here is a link to my Essay, why are we here which I wrote in reaction to David Malones Documentary series of the same title,

    https://longhairedmusings.wordpress.com/2017/01/08/why-are-we-here-an-essay-provoked-by-golem-xivs-david-malones-latest-documentary-series/
    In all matters epistemological and philosophical I demure ultimately to C S Pierce and this made up quote from ´We Pragmatists ´

    CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE: ´´In order to reason well …. it is absolutely necessary to possess … such virtues as intellectual honesty and sincerity and a real love of truth (2.82). The cause [of the success of scientificinquirers] has been that the motive which has carried them to the laboratory and the field has been a craving to know how things really were … (1-34).[Genuine inquiry consists I in diligent inquiry into truth for truth’s sake(1.44), … in actually drawing the bow upon truth with intentness in the eye, with energy in the arm (1.235). [When] it is no longer the reasoning which determines what the conclusion shall be, but … the conclusion which determines what the reasoning shall be … this is sham reasoning…. The effect of this shamming is that men come to look upon reasoning as mainly decorative…´´. http://web.ncf.ca/ag659/308/Peirce-Rorty-Haack.pdfPierces seminal essay How to make our ideas clear is also a great starting off point for embracing such truth as we might be fortunate enough to encounter in our allotted time on this blue marble suspended in eternity.http://www.peirce.org/writings/p119.html

    Davids Documentary is available on Curiosity stream. David and I are good friends and you may be familiar with some of his other Documentary Work for BBC Horizon ( Icon Earth) or Independently (Dangerous Knowledge) or of his Father Adrian Malone, Cosmos with Carl Sagan and The Age of Uncertainty with GK Galbraith.
    https://www.whyarewehere.tv/about/

    Here is a link to My trilogy of Poems which informs my Novel Conquest fo dough which I have also made a web site for also linked.

    https://longhairedmusings.wordpress.com/2017/03/28/globalisation-un-entangled-a-found-poem-cipher-of-globalism/

    https://theconquestofdough.weebly.com/

    Getting back to Wilber the Paper by the late great Bernard Lietaer Integral money
    is hugely en-riching and AQAL analysis of monetary perspectives bears much fruit
    Jain Many Sidedness and Maimonides souces of Contradiction are equally helpful templates for Making our ideas clear.

    http://www.peirce.org/writings/p119.html

    Like

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